@Article{	  blackwiliamb,
  author	= {Black, P. and Wiliam, D.},
  title		= {Inside the black box: Raising standards through classroom
		  assessment},
  journal	= {Phi Delta Kappan},
  year		= {1998},
  volume	= {80},
  number	= {2},
  pages		= {139-147},
  url		= {http://ditc.missouri.edu/docs/blackBox.pdf}
}

@Article{	  blackwiliama,
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		  Practice},
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  volume	= {5},
  number	= {1},
  pages		= {7--74}
}

@Article{	  boutilier1999,
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  year		= {1999},
  volume	= {11},
  pages		= {1-94},
  citeseercitationcount={0},
  citeseerurl	= {http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/346787.html},
  owner		= {ralmond},
  timestamp	= {2006.02.21},
  url		= {citeseer.ist.psu.edu/boutilier99decisiontheoretic.html}
}

@Book{		  boxjenkins,
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  title		= {Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and control},
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  year		= {1976}
}

@InProceedings{	  boyenkoller,
  author	= {Boyen, X. and Koller, D.},
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  year		= {1998},
  pages		= {33-42},
  publisher	= {Morgan Kaufmann},
  owner		= {jbabula},
  timestamp	= {2005.12.21}
}

@Book{		  brockwelldavis2002,
  author	= {Brockwell, Peter J. and Davis, Richard A.},
  title		= {Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting, 2nd Edition},
  publisher	= {Springer},
  year		= {2002},
}

@Unpublished{	  vondavier2,
  author	= {von Davier, M. and von Davier, A. A.},
  title		= {A micro-survey of models for individual change},
  note		= {Draft technical report},
  year		= {2005}
}

@Article{	  deankanazawa1989,
  author	= {Dean, T. and K. Kanazawa},
  title		= {A model for reasoning about persistence and causation},
  journal	= {Computer Intelligence},
  year		= {1989},
  volume	= {5},
  pages		= {142--150},
  citeseercitationcount={0},
  owner		= {jbabula},
  timestamp	= {2005.12.27}
}

@TECHREPORT{bowties,
  author = {Mathias, Krol Kevin and Isenhour, Cynthia and Dekhtyar, Alex and
	Goldsmith, Judy and Goldstein, Beth},
  title = {Eliciting and Combining Influence Diagrams: Tying Many Bowties Together},
  institution = {University of Kentuckey, Department of Computer Science},
  year = {2006},
  type = {Technical Report},
  number = {TR453-06},
  url = {http://www.cs.uky.edu/~dekhtyar/publications/TR453-06.pdf}
}

@ARTICLE{WelfareToWorkIJAR,
  author = {Dekhtyar, Alex and Goldsmith, Judy and Goldstein, Beth and Mathias,
	Keven Krol and Isenhour, Cynthia},
  title = {Planning for success: The interdisciplinary approach to building
	Bayesian models},
  journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning},
  year = {in press}
}



@Book{		  doucet2001,
  title		= {Sequential {Monte} {Carlo} Methods in Practice},
  publisher	= {Springer},
  year		= {2001},
  author	= {Doucet, Arnaud and de Freitas, Nando and Gordon, Neil},
  owner		= {ralmond},
  timestamp	= {2006.05.23}
}

@Article{	  eid2002,
  author	= {Eid, Michael},
  title		= {A closer look at the measurement of change: Integrating
		  latent state-trait models into the general framework of
		  latent mixed {Markov} modeling},
  journal	= {Methods of Psychological Research Online},
  year		= {2002},
  url		= {http://www.mpr-online.de}
}

@InCollection{	  howardmatheson1981,
  author	= {Howard, R.A. and Matheson, J.E.},
  title		= {Influence diagrams},
  booktitle	= {Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis},
  publisher	= {Strategic Decisions Group},
  year		= {1981},
  address	= {Menlo Park, CA},
  owner		= {jbabula},
  timestamp	= {2005.12.29}
}

@Article{	  junker2001,
  author	= {Junker, B.W. and Sijtsma, K.},
  title		= {Cognitive assessment models with few assumptions, and
		  connections with nonparametric item response theory},
  journal	= {Applied Psychological Measurement},
  year		= {2001},
  volume	= {25},
  pages		= {258-272},
  owner		= {jbabula},
  timestamp	= {2006.01.10}
}

@Article{	  kalmanbucy1961,
  author	= {Kalman, R.E. and Bucy, R.S.},
  title		= {New results in linear prediction and filtering theory},
  journal	= {Transactions ASME, Series D, J. Basic Eng.},
  year		= {1961},
  volume	= {83},
  pages		= {95-107}
}

@InCollection{	  koller2001,
  author	= {Koller, Daphne and Learner, Uri},
  title		= {Sequential {Monte} {Carlo} Methods in Practice},
  booktitle	= {Sampling in Factored Dynamic Systems},
  publisher	= {Springer},
  year		= {2001},
  editor	= {Doucet, Arnaud and de Freitas, Nando and Gordon, Neil},
  pages		= {445-464},
  owner		= {jbabula},
  timestamp	= {2006.01.24}
}

@Article{	  langeheine1990,
  author	= {Langeheine, R. and van de Pol, F.},
  title		= {A unifying framework for {Markov} modeling in discrete space
		  and discrete time},
  journal	= {Sociological Methods and Research},
  year		= {1990},
  volume	= {18},
  pages		= {416-441}
}

@Book{		  liu2001,
  title		= {{Monte} {Carlo} Strategies in Scientific Computing},
  publisher	= {Springer},
  year		= {2001},
  author	= {Liu, Jun S.},
  owner		= {jbabula},
  timestamp	= {2006.01.24}
}

@InCollection{	  matheson1990,
  author	= {Matheson, J.E.},
  title		= {Using Influence Diagrams to Value Information and
		  Control},
  booktitle	= {Influence Diagrams, Belief Nets and Decision Analysis},
  publisher	= {John Wiley \& Sons},
  year		= {1990},
  editor	= {Oliver, Robert M. and Smith James Q.},
  owner		= {jbabula},
  timestamp	= {2006.01.25}
}

@Article{	  onthestructure,
  author	= {Mislevy, Robert J. and Steinberg, Linda S. and Almond,
		  Russell G.},
  title		= {On the structure of educational assessment (with
		  discussion)},
  journal	= {Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspective},
  year		= {2003},
  volume	= {1},
  pages		= {3-62},
  number	= {1},
  keywords	= {Articles},
  owner		= {ralmond},
  timestamp	= {2005.12.16}
}

@Article{	  mundhenk2000,
  author	= {Mundhenk, M. and Lusena, C. and Goldsmith, J. and Allender,
		  E.},
  title		= {The complexity of finite-horizon {Markov} decision process
		  problems},
  journal	= {Journal of the ACM},
  year		= {2000},
  volume	= {47},
  pages		= {681--720},
  number	= {4}
}

@InCollection{	  murphy2001,
  author	= {Murphy, Kevin and Russell, Stuart},
  title		= {Rao-Blackwellised Particle Filtering for Dynamic
		  {Bayesian} Networks.},
  booktitle	= {Sequential {Monte} {Carlo} Methods in Practice},
  publisher	= {Springer},
  year		= {2001},
  editor	= {Doucet, Arnaud and de Freitas, Nando and Gordon, Neil},
  pages		= {499-515},
  owner		= {jbabula},
  timestamp	= {2006.02.01}
}

@Book{		  pearl1988,
  title		= {Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks
		  of Plausible Inference},
  publisher	= {Morgan Kaufmann},
  year		= {1988},
  author	= {Pearl, Judea},
  address	= {San Mateo, CA},
  owner		= {ralmond},
  timestamp	= {2006.04.28}
}

@InCollection{	  raudenbush2001,
  author	= {Raudenbush, S.W.},
  editor	= {Collins, L. M. and Sayer, A. G.},
  booktitle	= {New methods for the analysis of change},
  title		= {Toward a coherent framework for comparing trajectories of
		  individual change},
  publisher	= {American Psychological Association},
  year		= {2001},
  pages		= {35--64}
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@Article{	  reye2004,
  author	= {Reye, Jim},
  title		= {Student Modelling Based on Belief Networks},
  journal	= {Internationl Journal of Artificial Intelligence in
		  Education},
  year		= {2004},
  volume	= {14},
  pages		= {63--96}
}

@Article{	  rijmen2007,
  author	= {Rijmen, Frank and Vansteelandt, Kristof and De Boeck,
		  Paul},
  title		= {Latent class models for diary method data: parameter
		  estimation by local computations},
  journal	= {Psychometrica},
  year		= {2007},
  note		= {To Appear}
}

@Book{		  ross1989,
  title		= {Probability Models},
  publisher	= {Academic Press},
  year		= {1989},
  author	= {Ross, S.M.}
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@InProceedings{	  takikawa2002,
  author	= {Takikawa, M. and D'Ambrosia, B. and Wright, E.},
  title		= {Real-Time Inference with Large-Scale Temporal Bayes Nets},
  booktitle	= {Proceedings of the 18th {UAI} Conference},
  year		= {2002},
  editor	= {Breese, Jack and Koller, Daphne},
  publisher	= {Morgan Kaufmann}
}

@Book{		  vygotsky1978,
  title		= {Mind in society: The development of higher mental
		  processes},
  publisher	= {Harvard University Press},
  year		= {1978},
  author	= {Vygotsky, L.}
}

@PhDThesis{	  ye2005,
  author	= {Ye, Feifei},
  title		= {Diagnostic Assessment of Urban Middle School Student
		  Learning of Pre-Algebra Patterns},
  school	= {The Ohio State University},
  year		= {2005},
  owner		= {ralmond},
  timestamp	= {2006.06.07}
}

@Manual{	  r,
  title		= {R: A language and environment for statistical computing},
  author	= {{R Development Core Team}},
  organization	= {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
  address	= {Vienna, Austria},
  year		= {2005},
  note		= {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
  owner		= {ralmond},
  timestamp	= {2006.06.01},
  url		= {http://www.R-project.org}
}

@Proceedings{	  dblp:conf/uai/2003,
  title		= {UAI '03, Proceedings of the 19th Conference in Uncertainty
		  in Artificial Intelligence, August 7-10 2003, Acapulco,
		  Mexico},
  year		= {2003},
  editor	= {Christopher Meek and Uffe Kj{\ae}rulff},
  publisher	= {Morgan Kaufmann},
  bibsource	= {DBLP, http://dblp.uni-trier.de},
  booktitle	= {UAI},
  isbn		= {0-127-05664-5}
}

@TECHREPORT{music,
  author = {Almond, Russell G.},
  title = {An Illustration of the Use of {Markov} Decision
    Processes to Represent Student Growth (Learning)},
  institution = {ETS Research Report},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {313--324},
  year = {2007},
  keywords = {2006Papers, Under Review},
  url = {http://search.ets.org/custres/},
  owner = {ralmond},
  timestamp = {2006.03.13},
}