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@InCollection{GelmanShirley2011,
  Title                    = {Inference from Simulations and Monitoring Convergence},
  Author                   = {Gelman, A. and Shirley, K.},
  Year                     = {2011},
  Pages                    = {163--174},

  Crossref                 = {MCMCHandbook}
}

@InCollection{Geyer2011,
  Title                    = {Introduction to {Markov} Chain {Monte} {Carlo}},
  Author                   = {Geyer, C. J.},
  Year                     = {2011},
  Pages                    = {3--48},

  Crossref                 = {MCMCHandbook},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@TechReport{KeystrokeRR,
  Title                    = {A Preliminary Analysis of Keystroke Log Data from a Timed Writing Task},
  Author                   = {Almond, Russell G. and Deane, Paul and Quinlan, Thomas and Wagner, Michael and Sydorenko, Tetyana},
  Institution              = {Educational Testing Service},
  Year                     = {2012},
  Number                   = {RR-12-23},
  Type                     = {Research Report},

  Keywords                 = {TechnicalReports,FSU:Report,FSU:Refereed,Papers2012},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05},
  Url                      = {http://www.ets.org/research/policy_research_reports/publications/report/2012/jgdg}
}

@Article{Bafumi2005,
  Title                    = {Practial Issues in Implementing and Understanding Bayesian Ideal Point Estimation},
  Author                   = {Bafumi, Joeseph and Gelman, Andrew and Park, David K. and Kaplan, Noah},
  Journal                  = {Political Analysis},
  Year                     = {2005},
  Pages                    = {171-187},
  Volume                   = {13},

  Doi                      = {10.1093/pan/mpi010},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@Article{mixtools,
  Title                    = {{mixtools}: An {R} Package for Analyzing Finite Mixture Models},
  Author                   = {Tatiana Benaglia and Didier Chauveau and David R. Hunter and Derek Young},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Statistical Software},
  Year                     = {2009},
  Number                   = {6},
  Pages                    = {1--29},
  Volume                   = {32},

  Url                      = {http://www.jstatsoft.org/v32/i06/}
}

@InCollection{Deane2012,
  Title                    = {Rethinking {K-12} Writing assessment},
  Author                   = {Deane, P.},
  Booktitle                = {Writing assessment in the 21st century. Essays in honor of {Edward} {M.} White},
  Publisher                = {Hampton Press},
  Year                     = {2012},
  Editor                   = {Elliot, N. and Perelman, L.},
  Pages                    = {87--100},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@Article{Fruthwirth2001,
  Title                    = {{Markov} Chain {Monte} {Carlo} Estimation of Classical and Dynamic Switching and Mixture Models.},
  Author                   = {Fr\"uthwirth-Schnatter, S.},
  Journal                  = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  Year                     = {2001},
  Number                   = {453},
  Pages                    = {194--209},
  Volume                   = {96},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@Book{BDA3,
  Title                    = {{Bayesian} data analysis},
  Author                   = {Gelman, A. and Carlin, J. B. and Stern, H. S. and Dunson, D. B. and Vehtari, A. and Rubin, D. B.},
  Publisher                = {Chapman and Hall},
  Year                     = {2013},
  Edition                  = {3rd},
  Note                     = {The third edition is revised and expanded and has material that the earlier editions lack.},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2007.10.17}
}

@Article{flexmix,
  Title                    = {{FlexMix} Version 2: Finite mixtures with concomitant variables and varying and constant parameters},
  Author                   = {Gruen, B. and Leisch, F.},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Statistical Software},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {1--35},
  Volume                   = {28},

  Url                      = {http://www.jstatsoft.org/v28/i04/}
}

@MastersThesis{Li2013,
  Title                    = {A {Bayesian} Hierarchical Mixture Approach to Model Timing Data with Application to Writing Assessment},
  Author                   = {Li, Tingxuan},
  School                   = {Florida State University},
  Year                     = {2013}
}

@Book{mclachlan2008EM,
  Title                    = {The {EM} algorithm and extensions},
  Author                   = {McLachlan, Geoffrey and Krishnan, Thriyambakam},
  Publisher                = {Wiley},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Edition                  = {2nd},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@Book{McLachlanPeel2000,
  Title                    = {Finite Mixture Models},
  Author                   = {McLachlan, G. and Peel, D.},
  Publisher                = {Wiley},
  Year                     = {2000},

  ISBN                     = {978-0471006268},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@InCollection{Neal2011,
  Title                    = {{MCMC} Using {Hamiltonian} Dynamics},
  Author                   = {Neal, R. M.},
  Year                     = {2011},
  Editor                   = {MCMCHandbook},
  Pages                    = {113--162},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@Manual{rjags,
  Title                    = {rjags: Bayesian graphical models using MCMC},
  Author                   = {Martyn Plummer},
  Note                     = {R package version 3-11},
  Year                     = {2013},

  Url                      = {http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=rjags}
}

@Manual{JAGS,
  Title                    = {{JAGS} Version 3.2.0 User Manual},
  Author                   = {Plummer, Martyn},
  Edition                  = {3.2.0},
  Month                    = {May},
  Year                     = {2012},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05},
  Url                      = {http://mcmc-jags.sourceforge.net/}
}

@Article{Plummer2008,
  Title                    = {Penalized loss functions for {Bayesian} model comparison},
  Author                   = {Plummer, Martyn},
  Journal                  = {Biostatistics},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {523--539},
  Volume                   = {9},

  Doi                      = {10.1093/biostatistics/kxm049},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@Article{coda,
  Title                    = {CODA: Convergence Diagnosis and Output Analysis for MCMC},
  Author                   = {Martyn Plummer and Nicky Best and Kate Cowles and Karen Vines},
  Journal                  = {R News},
  Year                     = {2006},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {7--11},
  Volume                   = {6},

  File                     = {Rnews_2006-1.pdf:http\://CRAN.R-project.org/doc/Rnews/Rnews_2006-1.pdf:PDF},
  Url                      = {http://CRAN.R-project.org/doc/Rnews/}
}

@Manual{R,
  Title                    = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},

  Address                  = {Vienna, Austria},
  Author                   = {{R Core Team}},
  Organization             = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
  Year                     = {2014},

  Url                      = {http://www.R-project.org/}
}

@Article{DIC,
  Title                    = {{Bayesian} measures of model complexity and fit (with discussion)},
  Author                   = {Spiegelhalter, D. J. and Best, N. G. and Carlin, B. P. and {van der Linde}, A.},
  Journal                  = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B},
  Year                     = {2002},
  Pages                    = {583--639},
  Volume                   = {64},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@Manual{BUGSManual,
  Title                    = {BUGS: {Bayesian} inference Using {Gibbs} Sampling, Version~0.50},

  Address                  = {Cambridge},
  Author                   = {Spiegelhalter, D. J. and Thomas, A. and Best, N. G. and Gilks, W. R.},
  Organization             = {MRC Biostatistics Unit},
  Year                     = {1995},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05},
  Url                      = {http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/}
}

@Manual{stan,
  Title                    = {Stan: A {C++} Library for Probability and Sampling},
  Author                   = {{Stan Development Team}},
  Edition                  = {Version 2.2.0},
  Year                     = {2013},

  Url                      = {http://mc-stan.org/}
}

@Manual{stan-manual,
  Title                    = {Stan Modeling Language User's Guide and Reference Manual},
  Author                   = {{Stan Development Team}},
  Edition                  = {Version 2.2.0},
  Year                     = {2013},

  Url                      = {http://mc-stan.org/}
}

@Article{OpenBUGSAnnounce,
  Title                    = {Making {BUGS} Open},
  Author                   = {Thomas, Andrew and O'Hara, Bob and Ligges, Uwe and Sturtz, Sibylle},
  Journal                  = {{R} News},
  Year                     = {2006},
  Pages                    = {12-17},
  Volume                   = {6},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2006.09.14},
  Url                      = {http://www.rni.helsinki.fi/~boh/publications/Rnews2006-1.pdf}
}

@InProceedings{BUGSCite,
  Title                    = {{BUGS}: A program to perform {Bayesian} inference using {Gibbs} sampling},
  Author                   = {Thomas, A. and Spiegelhalter, D. J. and Gilks, W. R.},
  Booktitle                = {{Bayesian} Statistics 4.\/},
  Year                     = {1992},
  Editor                   = {J. M. Bernardo and J. O. Berger and A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith},
  Pages                    = {837--842},
  Publisher                = {Clarendon Press},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.08}
}

@Book{MCMCHandbook,
  Title                    = {Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo},
  Editor                   = {Brooks, S. and Gelman, A. and Jones, G. L. and Meng, XL.},
  Publisher                = {CRC Press},
  Year                     = {2011},

  Booktitle                = {Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.06.05}
}

@InProceedings{WhereNumbers,
  Title                    = {Bayes nets in educational assessment: Where the numbers come from.},
  Author                   = {Mislevy, Robert J. and Almond, Russell G. and Yan, Duanli and Steinberg, Linda S.},
  Booktitle                = {Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence '99},
  Year                     = {1999},
  Editor                   = {K. B. Laskey and H. Prade},
  Pages                    = {437-446},
  Publisher                = {Morgan-Kaufmann},

  Keywords                 = {Collection},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2005.12.17}
}

@Article{musicTICL,
  Title                    = {Cognitive Modeling to Represent Growth (Learning) Using {Markov} Decision Processes},
  Author                   = {Almond, Russell G.},
  Journal                  = {Technology, Instruction, Cognition and Learning ({TICL})},
  Year                     = {2007},
  Pages                    = {313--324},
  Volume                   = {5},

  Keywords                 = {2007Papers},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Url                      = {http://www.oldcitypublishing.com/TICL/TICL.html}
}

@TechReport{music,
  Title                    = {An Illustration of the Use of {Markov} Decision Processes to Represent Student Growth (Learning)},
  Author                   = {Almond, Russell G.},
  Institution              = {{ETS} Research Report},
  Year                     = {2007},
  Number                   = {RR-07-40},

  Keywords                 = {2007Papers},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2006.03.13},
  Url                      = {http://www.ets.org/research/researcher/RR-07-40.html}
}

@TechReport{PFEM,
  Title                    = {Estimating Parameters of Periodic Assessment Models},
  Author                   = {Almond, R. G.},
  Institution              = {Educational Testing Service},
  Year                     = {2009},
  Number                   = {To appear},
  Type                     = {Research Report},

  Keywords                 = {2007Papers,2008Papers,2009Papers},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2007.10.19}
}

@Book{RTI,
  author =    {{Center on Response to Intervention}},
  title =        {Response to intervention glossary of terms},
  publisher =    {American Institutes for Research},
  year =         {2013},
  month =     {October},
}

@Book{Berger1985,
  Title                    = {Statistical Decision Theory and {Bayesian} Analysis,},
  Author                   = {Berger, J. O.},
  Publisher                = {Springer-Verlag, New York},
  Year                     = {1985},

  Owner                    = {jbabula},
  Timestamp                = {2005.12.19}
}

@Book{BoxTiao,
  Title                    = {{Bayesian} Inference in Statistical Analysis},
  Author                   = {Box, G. E. P. and G. C. Tiao},
  Publisher                = {John Wiley and Sons},
  Year                     = {1973},
  Note                     = {Reprinted in Wiley Classics Library Edition, 1992.},

  Owner                    = {jbabula},
  Timestamp                = {2005.12.21}
}

@Book{DeGroot1970,
  Title                    = {Optimal Statistical Decisions},
  Author                   = {DeGroot, M. H.},
  Publisher                = {McGraw--Hill},
  Year                     = {1970},

  Owner                    = {jbabula},
  Timestamp                = {2005.12.27}
}

@Article{Falmagne1989,
  Title                    = {A latent trait model via a stochastic learning theory for a knowledge space},
  Author                   = {Falmagne, J-C.},
  Journal                  = {Psychometrika},
  Year                     = {1989},
  Pages                    = {283-303},
  Volume                   = {54},

  Owner                    = {jbabula},
  Timestamp                = {2005.12.28}
}

@Book{BDA3,
  Title                    = {{Bayesian} data analysis},
  Author                   = {Gelman, A. and Carlin, J. B. and Stern, H. S. and Dunson, D. B. and Vehtari, A. and Rubin, D. B.},
  Publisher                = {Chapman and Hall},
  Year                     = {2013},
  Edition                  = {3rd},
  Note                     = {The third edition is revised and expanded and has material that the earlier editions lack.},

  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2007.10.17}
}

@Book{DecisionAnalysis,
  Title                    = {Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis},
  Author                   = {Howard, R. A. and Matheson, J. E.},
  Publisher                = {Strategic Decisions Group},
  Year                     = {1981},

  Address                  = {Menlo Park, CA}
}

@InCollection{HowardMatheson1981,
  Title                    = {Influence diagrams},
  Author                   = {Howard, R. A. and Matheson, J. E.},
  Booktitle                = {Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis},
  Publisher                = {Strategic Decisions Group},
  Year                     = {1981},

  Address                  = {Menlo Park, CA},

  Owner                    = {jbabula},
  Timestamp                = {2005.12.29}
}

@Book{Lee1989,
  Title                    = {{Bayesian} Statistics: An Introduction},
  Author                   = {Lee, P. M.},
  Publisher                = {Oxford University Press},
  Year                     = {1989}
}

@Book{Vygotsky1978,
  Title                    = {Mind in society: The development of higher mental processes},
  Author                   = {Vygotsky, L.},
  Publisher                = {Harvard University Press},
  Year                     = {1978}
}
@Article{Willett1988,
  Title                    = {Questions and answers in the measurement of change},
  Author                   = {Willett, John B.},
  Journal                  = {Review of Research in Education},
  Year                     = {1988},
  Pages                    = {345-422},
  Volume                   = {15},

  Keywords                 = {NAEP Longitudinal Lit Review},
  Noot                     = {ArticleType: primary_article / Full publication date: 1988 - 1989 / Copyright © 1988 American Educational Research Association},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014.07.22}
}
@Article{Fuchs2012,
  author =       {Fuchs, L. S. and Vaughn, S.},
  title =        {Responsiveness-to-Intervention:  A decade later},
  journal =      {Journal of Learning Disabilities},
  year =         {2012},
  volume =    {45},
  pages =    {195-203},
  doi =       {10.1177/0022219412442150}
}

@Book{Kahneman1982,
  Title                    = {Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases},
  Author                   = {Kahneman, D. and P. Slovic and A. Tversky},
  Publisher                = {Cambridge University Press},
  Year                     = {1982},

  Owner                    = {jbabula},
  Timestamp                = {2006.01.11}
}

@Article{Boutilier1999,
  Title                    = {Decision-Theoretic Planning: Structural Assumptions and Computational Leverage},
  Author                   = {Craig Boutilier and Thomas Dean and Steve Hanks},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research},
  Year                     = {1999},
  Pages                    = {1-94},
  Volume                   = {11},

  Citeseercitationcount    = {0},
  Citeseerurl              = {http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/346787.html},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2006.02.21},
  Url                      = {citeseer.ist.psu.edu/boutilier99decisiontheoretic.html}
}

@InProceedings{BoutilierLiu2016,
  author =       {Boutilier, Craig and Liu, Tyler},
  title =        {Budget Allocation using Weakly Coupled, Constrained Markov Deicsion Processes},
  booktitle = {Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence ({UAI}):  Proceedings of the Thirty-Second Conference },
  year =      {2016},
  editor =    {Ihler, Alexander and Janzing, Dominik},
  OPTvolume =    {},
  OPTnumber =    {},
  OPTseries =    {},
  pages =     {52--61},
  OPTmonth =     {},
  OPTaddress =   {},
  OPTorganization = {},
  publisher = {Association for Uncertainy in Artificial Intelligence ({AUAI})},
  OPTnote =      {Published Online},
  url =       {http://auai.org/uai2016/proceedings/papers/246.pdf},
  OPTpostscript = {},
  OPTpdf =       {},
  OPTdvi =       {}
}

@InProceedings{VerticalStationary,
  Title                    = {Vertical and Stationary Scales for Progress Maps},
  Author                   = {Almond, R. G. and Goldin, Ilya and Guo, Yuhua and Wang, Nan},
  Booktitle                = {Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Educational Data Mining},
  Year                     = {2014},
  Editor                   = {Stamper, J. and Pardoz, Z. and Mavrikis, M. and McLaren, B. M.},
  Pages                    = {169--176},

  Keywords                 = {2014Papers, Collection, online, Recent},
  Owner                    = {ralmond},
  Timestamp                = {2014-01-14},
  Url                      = {http://educationaldatamining.org/EDM2014/uploads/procs2014/long%20papers/169_EDM-2014-Full.pdf}
}

@InProceedings{UAIReading,
  Title                    = {Using {POMDPs} to Forecast Kindergarten Students Reading Comprehension},
  Author                   = {Almond, R. G. and Tokac, U. and Al Otaiba, S.},
  Booktitle                = {The 9th {Bayesian} Modelling Application Workshop at {UAI} 2012},
  Year                     = {2012},

  Address                  = {Catalina Island, CA},
  Editor                   = {Agosta, J. M. and Nicholson, A. and Flores, M. J.},
  Month                    = {August},

  Keywords                 = {Collection, 2012Papers, online},
  Url                      = {http://www.abnms.org/uai2012-apps-workshop/papers/AlmondEtal.pdf}
}

@Article{Pearl2009,
  author =       {Pearl, Judea},
  title =        {Causal inference in statistics:  An overview},
  journal =      {Statistics Surveys},
  year =         {2009},
  volume =    {3},
  pages =     {96--146},
  url =       {http://ftp.cs.ucla.edu/pub/stat_ser/r350.pdf},
  doi = {10.1214/09-SS057}
}


@InProceedings{Shpitser2006,
  author =       {Shpitser, Ilya and Pearl, Judea},
  title =        {Identification of Conditional Interventinoal Distributions},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the Twenty-Section Conference in Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence},
  OPTyear =      {2006},
  OPTeditor =    {Dechter, R. and Richardson, T. S.},
  pages =     {437--444},
  publisher = {AUAI Press},
  url =       {http://arxiv.org/pdf/1206.6876},
  OPTpostscript = {},
  OPTpdf =       {},
  OPTdvi =       {}
}

@TechReport{easyCBM,
  author =       {Alonzo, J. and Tindal, G. and Ulmer, K. and Glasgow, A.},
  title =        {{easyCBM} online progress monitoring assessment sytem},
  institution =  {Behavioral Research and Teaching},
  year =         {2006},
  url =       {http://easyCBM.com/},
}

@Article{Mellard2009,
  author =       {Mellard, D. F. and {McKnight}, M. and Woods, K.},
  title =        {Response to intervention screening and progress-monitoring practices in 41 local schools},
  journal =      {Learning Disabilities Research and Practice},
  year =         {2009},
  volume =    {24},
  pages =     {186--191},
}

@Article{Jenkins2013,
  author =       {Jenkins, J. R. and Schiller, E. and Backorby, J. and Thayer, S. K. and Tilly, W.},
  title =        {Response to intervention in reading:  Architecture and practices},
  journal =      {Learning Disabilities Quarterly},
  year =         {2012},
  volume =    {36},
  number =    {1},
  pages =     {36--46},
}